diff --git a/docs/reports/SENTINEL_V24_AGI_ASI_GOVERNANCE_ROADMAP_2026_2035.md b/docs/reports/SENTINEL_V24_AGI_ASI_GOVERNANCE_ROADMAP_2026_2035.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6802df1 --- /dev/null +++ b/docs/reports/SENTINEL_V24_AGI_ASI_GOVERNANCE_ROADMAP_2026_2035.md @@ -0,0 +1,685 @@ +
{e(purpose)}
{secs}{e(item)}Headline: {e(exs['headline'])}
+Scope: {e(exs['scope'])}
+Investment: {e(exs['investment'])}
+Target Indices: {e(exs['targetIndices'])}
+Board Recommendation: {e(exs['recommendation'])}
+Scope: {e(directive['scope'])}
+Headline: WP-067 is the formal cryptographic bridge and research apex that turns the WP-062/063/064/065/066 platform's TLA+ invariants into recursively-proven, OSCAL-bound, federated zero-knowledge compliance attestations — and frames the whole programme within epistemic universality/singularity, resonance calculi, recoverability and continuity-survivability for civilizational-scale AI safety.
+Scope: GC-IR (TLA+ -> zk-SNARK/zk-STARK with semantic preservation, incl. Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers), recursive/proof-carrying compliance with rolling 5-minute windows feeding G-SRI, SystemicRiskAggregator Circom/Groth16 + trusted-setup MPC + SnarkPack + VK management, OSCAL proof extensions + Merkle commitments + deterministic audit replay + TPM binding, federated zk compliance for EU AI Act supervision, proof-stack DevSecOps/CI/CD/regulatory-sandbox validation, and the research apex (epistemic universality/singularity, resonance calculi, recoverability, continuity-survivability).
+Investment: $210M-$360M over ten years (2026-2035, risk-adjusted; incremental to platform & implementation spend).
+Target Indices: Semantic preservation 1.0; invariant coverage >=0.95; recursive verify <=250ms; aggregation >=100x; MPC honest participant >=1; VK rotation <=90d; audit-replay determinism 1.0; federation disclosure leakage 0; recoverability drill pass >=0.95.
+Board Recommendation: Approve the formal-bridge build first (GC-IR + Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers + SystemicRiskAggregator + MPC), then recursive proof-carrying compliance feeding G-SRI, then OSCAL proof extensions + deterministic audit replay, then the federated zk pilot — and ratify the research-apex doctrine (recoverability & continuity-survivability) into board governance, keeping verification provably ahead of capability through 2035.
+Scope: Deliver the 2026-2035 formal cryptographic-bridge and research-apex layer for G-SIFIs: (1) GC-IR, a typed intermediate representation that compiles TLA+ safety/liveness invariants (incl. Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers) into zk-SNARK/zk-STARK circuits with semantic preservation; (2) recursive / proof-carrying compliance via IVC and folding, with rolling 5-minute proof windows fed into G-SRI (WP-066); (3) SystemicRiskAggregator Circom circuits + Groth16 pipelines + trusted-setup MPC + SnarkPack aggregation + verification-key management; (4) OSCAL proof extensions bound to assessment-results, Merkle evidence commitments and deterministic audit replay; (5) federated zk compliance for EU AI Act financial supervision; (6) DevSecOps/CI/CD/regulatory-sandbox validation of the proof stack; and (7) research synthesis of epistemic universality/singularity, resonance calculi, recoverability and continuity-survivability. Cross-references WP-062/063/064/065/066 as the architectural and protocol substrate.
+A formal, typed intermediate representation that compiles TLA+ safety and liveness invariants (including Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers) into zk-SNARK / zk-STARK arithmetic circuits while preserving semantics from specification to proof to OSCAL evidence, closing the gap left by WP-064/065/066 which assert TLA+ and zk-SNARK separately but never the formal bridge between them.
Recursive proof architectures (IVC / folding / recursive SNARK composition) that compress a continuous stream of per-window compliance attestations into a single succinct verifiable state, with rolling 5-minute proof windows whose results feed G-SRI risk scoring (WP-066).
Sentinel v2.4 cryptographic systemic-risk controls: a Circom SystemicRiskAggregator circuit, a Groth16 zk-SNARK pipeline, a trusted-setup MPC ceremony, SnarkPack proof aggregation, and supervisor-facing verification-key (VK) management and rotation — extending WP-064/065's Groth16/Circom usage with the aggregator, ceremony and key-lifecycle controls the corpus lacked.
OSCAL proof extensions that bind succinct cryptographic proofs to OSCAL assessment-results, anchored by Merkle evidence commitments and verified by deterministic audit replay — extending the OSCAL mapping (WP-064/065/066) with proof-carrying, replayable evidence.
Cross-institution and cross-jurisdiction proof federation that lets G-SIFIs and supervisors verify compliance (EU AI Act high-risk/GPAI-systemic financial supervision) without disclosing raw data or proprietary model internals.
DevSecOps, CI/CD and regulatory-sandbox strategies that validate the GC-IR compiler, recursive prover, SystemicRiskAggregator, OSCAL proof extensions and federated stack as blocking gates and sandbox exercises.
Research-level synthesis connecting federated zk AI compliance to resonance-based cosmologies, recoverability science and constitutional governance — framing epistemic universality, epistemic singularity, resonance calculi, recoverability governance and continuity-survivability architectures for civilizational-scale AI safety.
Board- and regulator-facing narrative sections rendered with <title>/<abstract>/<content> for direct inclusion in supervisory dossiers.
| schema | fields |
|---|---|
| TlaInvariant | tiid, invariant, kind, tla, gcir, circuit, criticality |
| GcirBridge | gbid, stage, from, to, guarantee |
| ZkCircuit | zcid, circuit, system, proof, publicInputs[], privateWitness[], purpose |
| ProofPipeline | ppid, stage, tool, cadence, output, sla |
| OscalProofExtension | opid, extension, boundTo, fields[], validation |
| EvidencePipeline | epid, source, normalize, commit, replay |
| ResearchSynthesis | rsyid, theme, thesis, operationalization, implication |
| RoadmapPhase | rpid, window, milestone, horizon |
---- MODULE KillSwitchLiveness ---- +VARIABLES killSignal, halted +Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers == [](killSignal => <>halted) +THEOREM Spec => Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers +====
---- MODULE Recoverability ---- +VARIABLES state +Safe(s) == s \in AttestedSafeStates +Recoverable == [](\E s : ~Safe(state) => <>Safe(state)) +THEOREM Spec => Recoverable +====
pragma circom 2.1.6;
+// SystemicRiskAggregator: attest composite risk without revealing sub-indices
+template SystemicRiskAggregator(n) {
+ signal input subIndices[n]; // private witness (per-system G-SRI)
+ signal input tierGate; // public input
+ signal output composite; // attested composite
+ var acc = 0;
+ for (var i = 0; i < n; i++) { acc += subIndices[i]; }
+ composite <== acc;
+ // constraint: composite <= tierGate enforced by range gadget (omitted)
+}
+component main { public [tierGate] } = SystemicRiskAggregator(8);pragma circom 2.1.6;
+// MerkleEvidenceInclusion: prove an evidence leaf is committed in the root
+template MerkleInclusion(depth) {
+ signal input leaf;
+ signal input root; // public input
+ signal input path[depth];
+ signal input idx[depth];
+ // hash up the path and assert == root (poseidon gadget omitted)
+}
+component main { public [root] } = MerkleInclusion(20);# Groth16 pipeline (deterministic, reproducible) +circom SystemicRiskAggregator.circom --r1cs --wasm --sym +snarkjs groth16 setup SystemicRiskAggregator.r1cs pot_final.ptau circ_0000.zkey +snarkjs zkey contribute circ_0000.zkey circ_final.zkey -e="mpc-phase2" +snarkjs zkey export verificationkey circ_final.zkey vk.json +snarkjs groth16 prove circ_final.zkey witness.wtns proof.json public.json +snarkjs groth16 verify vk.json public.json proof.json
// SnarkPack aggregation (supervisor-scale batch verify) +let agg = snarkpack::aggregate_proofs(&srs, &transcript, &proofs)?; +let ok = snarkpack::verify_aggregate(&vk, &agg, &public_inputs)?; // log verify cost
package gcir.proofgate
+# Deny emitting an attestation unless GC-IR semantic preservation is proven
+default emit = false
+emit {
+ input.semanticPreservation == "proven"
+ input.mpcTranscriptValid == true
+ input.vkProvenanceValid == true
+ input.auditReplayDeterministic == true
+}{
+ "assessment-results": {
+ "metadata": {"title": "WP-067 zk Proof Extension", "oscal-version": "1.1.2"},
+ "results": [{
+ "title": "Rolling-window compliance proof",
+ "props": [
+ {"name": "proof-scheme", "value": "groth16"},
+ {"name": "merkle-root", "value": "0x..."},
+ {"name": "vk-ref", "value": "vk://registry/v12"},
+ {"name": "gcir-provenance", "value": "TLA-01:Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers"}
+ ]
+ }]
+ }
+}paths:
+ /api/gcir-zk-recursive-2035/zk-circuits:
+ get: { summary: List zk circuits, responses: { '200': { description: OK } } }
+ /api/gcir-zk-recursive-2035/tla-invariants/{id}:
+ get: { summary: Get TLA+ invariant by id, responses: { '200': { description: OK }, '404': { description: Not found } } }| index | target/cadence |
|---|---|
| GCIR-SemanticPreservation | 1.0 (per compiled circuit) |
| GCIR-InvariantCoverage | >=0.95 by 2028 |
| Recursive-FoldDepth | >=10000 (running accumulator) |
| Recursive-WindowCadence | rolling 5-minute |
| Recursive-VerifyLatency | <=250ms (aggregate) |
| Aggregation-Compression | >=100x (SnarkPack) |
| MPC-HonestParticipant | >=1 (ceremony assumption) |
| VK-RotationSLA | <=90 days |
| OSCALProof-BindingValidity | 1.0 (per extension) |
| AuditReplay-Determinism | 1.0 (byte-identical) |
| FederatedZK-DisclosureLeakage | 0 (zero raw-data) |
| GSRI-ProofFreshness | >=0.98 (continuous) |
| Recoverability-DrillPass | >=0.95 (quarterly) |
| ResonanceCalculus-Consistency | >=0.99 (continuous) |
| risk | control | owner | evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Circuit not equivalent to TLA+ invariant | GC-IR semantic-preservation proof obligation (Coq/Lean, CI-gated) | Head of Formal Methods | Equivalence proofs + CI gate results |
| Kill-switch liveness unattested | Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers compiled to windowed-liveness circuit; per-window proof | CISO / Safety Lead | Window proofs (KillSwitchLiveness) |
| Recursion/fold soundness break | VK-provenance constraint + folding soundness tests | Head of Cryptography | Soundness test reports + recursive verifier logs |
| Compromised trusted setup | MPC ceremony with >=1 honest participant + public transcript | Head of Cryptography | MPC transcript + participant attestations |
| Verification-key compromise/stale | VK registry + <=90d rotation + revocation | CISO | VK rotation/revocation logs |
| Tampered or fabricated evidence | Merkle commitment + deterministic audit replay + TPM binding | Internal Audit | Replay reports + TPM quotes |
| Disclosure leakage in federation | Zero-disclosure federation (public commitments only) | CCO | Federation disclosure audit (leakage = 0) |
| G-SRI fed by stale/unattested data | Rolling-window proof freshness SLA into G-SRI | CRO | Proof-freshness reports |
| Verification overtaken by capability (singularity) | Epistemic-singularity early-warning + verification-ahead invariant | Chief AI Safety Officer | Singularity indicator dashboards |
| Irrecoverable state after crisis | Recoverability proofs (TLA-07) + continuity-survivability drills | GEA / Board | Recoverability drill after-action reports |
| from | to | via |
|---|---|---|
| GC-IR (M1) | WP-064/065 TLA+ invariants & zk-SNARK | TLA+ -> typed IR -> R1CS/AIR with equivalence proofs |
| Recursive compliance (M2) | WP-066 G-SRI risk scoring | Rolling 5-minute window proofs -> attested G-SRI inputs |
| SystemicRiskAggregator (M3) | WP-066 G-SRI sub-indices | Circom aggregation of per-system witnesses |
| OSCAL proof extensions (M4) | WP-064/065/066 OSCAL mapping & evidence | Proof object + Merkle commitment + replay |
| Federated zk (M5) | WP-065 jurisdiction resolver / EU AI Act | Strictest-applicable resolution + aggregate proofs |
| CI/CD validation (M6) | WP-066 SIP v2.4 CI gates | Proof-stack gates added to GitOps promotion |
| Research apex (M7) | WP-062 civilizational synthesis / ICGC | Recoverability + continuity-survivability doctrine |
| flow |
|---|
| TLA+ invariant -> GC-IR typed AST -> R1CS/AIR -> equivalence proof (Coq/Lean) -> CI gate |
| 5-minute window -> GC-IR prover -> base proof + Merkle root -> fold (IVC) -> recursive compress -> succinct proof |
| Per-system G-SRI witnesses -> SystemicRiskAggregator (Circom/Groth16) -> SnarkPack aggregate -> supervisor verify |
| Evidence (OPA/GAI-SOC/Sentinel/TPM/WORM) -> Merkle commit -> public input -> proof -> OSCAL proof extension |
| Institution local proofs -> jurisdiction resolution -> federation aggregator -> sector posture -> regulator portal |
| Window proof outcome + freshness -> G-SRI composite (WP-066) -> tier gate + supervisory dashboard |
| name | scope |
|---|---|
| EU AI Office | EU AI Act 2024/1689, Annex IV, GPAI systemic risk; federated zk financial supervision |
| ESAs (EBA/ESMA/EIOPA) | DORA oversight; cryptographic assurance of ICT resilience |
| ECB / SSM | Prudential supervision; attested systemic-risk aggregation (G-SRI) |
| Federal Reserve / OCC | SR 11-7 / SR 26-2 model risk; proof-carrying validation evidence |
| NIST | AI RMF 1.0, AI 600-1; measurable, verifiable assurance |
| ISO/IEC JTC 1/SC 42 | ISO/IEC 42001; auditable AI management evidence |
| FCA / PRA | SMCR, Consumer Duty; accessible (WCAG) supervisory verification |
| MAS | FEAT; verifiable fairness/accountability attestations |
| HKMA | FEAT / Fintech 2030; APAC federated supervision |
| NIST PQC / Standards | Post-quantum crypto-agility; STARK transparency; continuity-survivability |
| day | task |
|---|---|
| 0-15 | Stand up GC-IR compiler skeleton; ingest first TLA+ safety invariants into typed AST. |
| 15-30 | Lower a safety invariant to R1CS; prove first semantic-preservation obligation in Coq/Lean; wire CI gate. |
| 30-45 | Compile Liveness_KillSwitchTriggers to a windowed-liveness STARK circuit; produce first window proof. |
| 45-60 | Build SystemicRiskAggregator Circom circuit + Groth16 pipeline; run a 3-party trusted-setup MPC ceremony. |
| 60-75 | Add Nova-style folding + SnarkPack aggregation; verify an aggregate proof under 250ms. |
| 75-90 | Emit first OSCAL proof extension with Merkle commitment + deterministic audit replay; demo to a sandbox regulator. |